SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
54.72% ( -0.29) | 22.49% ( 0.1) | 22.79% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.23) | 42.04% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.56% ( -0.23) | 64.44% ( 0.23) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( -0.18) | 15.29% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.99% ( -0.33) | 44% ( 0.33) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( 0.05) | 32.15% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( 0.05) | 68.63% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.72% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.79% |
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