SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13% ( 0.08) | 15.49% ( 0.02) | 71.51% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 63.44% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.58% ( 0.13) | 25.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.53% ( 0.17) | 45.47% ( -0.17) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.72% ( 0.2) | 32.28% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.22% ( 0.23) | 68.78% ( -0.23) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.68% ( 0.02) | 6.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.24% ( 0.04) | 23.76% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 13% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.49% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 8.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 5.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 3.09% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.35% Total : 71.51% |
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