There has never been a 0-0 result between these teams in 25 Bundesliga meetings to date, and both have leaked goals at an alarming rate this season. That points to either side conceding at least once on Saturday, when Hoffenheim can finally end their dismal run without a win and surpass Hertha in the standings.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
0.5) 
-0.5) 
