In addition to winning each of their last four league games – and five of their previous six – Mainz head into Saturday's showdown on the back of successive clean sheets.
With that in mind, we expect the 05ers to extend their winning streak to five matches with a third consecutive clean-sheet victory, piling more pressure on relegation-threatened Hertha.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.04) 
