SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
23.46% ( 0.2) | 20.72% ( -0.02) | 55.81% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.33) | 32.84% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.45% ( 0.38) | 54.54% ( -0.38) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( 0.34) | 26.49% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( 0.45) | 61.68% ( -0.45) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( 0.05) | 11.87% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.82% ( 0.12) | 37.17% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.81% |
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