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DFB-Pokal | Final
Jun 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Red Bull Arena
EF

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Frankfurt

Nkunku (71'), Szoboszlai (85')
Laimer (81'), Nkunku (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gotze (77'), Kolo (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 Schalke
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Both teams are capable of producing excellent offensive football on their day, which should help produce a thrilling DFB-Pokal final in the German capital on Saturday. However, there is little doubt that Leipzig head into this match in considerably superior form across recent months, while they clearly possess more match-winners at their disposal. As such, we expect them to retain the trophy in regular time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
57.47% (-0.803 -0.8) 21.53% (0.425 0.42) 20.99% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 58.19% (-0.92 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.1% (-1.483 -1.48)39.89% (1.479 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.74% (-1.553 -1.55)62.25% (1.55 1.55)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31% (-0.726 -0.73)13.68% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.09% (-1.46 -1.46)40.9% (1.455 1.46)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41% (-0.498 -0.5)32.58% (0.494 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.56 -0.56)69.11% (0.557 0.56)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 57.47%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 20.99%
    Draw 21.53%
RB LeipzigDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 57.47%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.285 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.299 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 5% (0.271 0.27)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 20.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 Schalke
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Frankfurt
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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