SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
48.44% ( -0.33) | 24.5% ( 0.04) | 27.06% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0.02) | 47.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% ( 0.02) | 69.3% ( -0.02) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( -0.13) | 19.49% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( -0.2) | 51.36% ( 0.2) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( 0.23) | 31.35% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.28% ( 0.26) | 67.72% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.06% |
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