Wolfsburg and Mainz have been far from their best in recent weeks but both clubs will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways on Friday. Having said that, there is little to separate these two teams at present and they may be forced to share the spoils on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
44.3%	24.33%	31.36%

Both teams to score 58.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.14%

43.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.75%

66.24%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05%

19.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9%

52.1%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02%

61.98%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 44.3%

Mainz 05 31.36%

Draw 24.32%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.36%