SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 35.08% | 28.03% | 36.88% |
| Both teams to score 47.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% | 58.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% | 78.98% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% | 31.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.43% | 66.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.08% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.88% |
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