SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
35.89% ( -0.26) | 24.29% ( -0.03) | 39.82% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.6% ( 0.11) | 42.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.19% ( 0.1) | 64.81% ( -0.1) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.1) | 23.37% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.65% ( -0.14) | 57.35% ( 0.14) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 0.19) | 21.38% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( 0.29) | 54.36% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.82% |
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