Mainz have been blowing sides away in the league of late, scoring 10 goals in their games with Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach.
Their next opponents are very much out-of-form, meaning a routine home win is potentially on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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