Despite finally ending their miserable losing streak in their last match, we are not convinced that Hoffenheim have fully turned a corner just yet, and they may struggle to claim an away victory on Sunday.
Werder undoubtedly have far less pressure on their shoulders, and we can envisage an open encounter as a result, with a potential share of the spoils as an outcome.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
0.97) 
-0.11) 
