SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Heidenheim |
52.79% ( -0.29) | 23.63% ( 0.22) | 23.58% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.9) | 46.23% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( -0.86) | 68.52% ( 0.86) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( -0.44) | 17.48% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.04% ( -0.77) | 47.96% ( 0.77) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( -0.44) | 33.76% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% ( -0.48) | 70.42% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.79% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 23.58% |
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