Union Berlin and Freiburg look set to play out a cagey draw in the German capital as both sides aim to avoid defeat and maintain their top-four bids. Although Union have stuttered in recent weeks, Fischer's men are expected to extend their unbeaten run on home soil to 19 matches with a hard-fought draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
49.53%	26.51%	23.96%

Both teams to score 46.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.77%

57.23% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08% (

-0)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81%

23.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92%

57.08% (

-0)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.49%

39.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.8%

76.2% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 49.52%

Freiburg 23.96%

Draw 26.5%

Union Berlin	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.52%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.96%