Despite Leipzig's seven-match unbeaten run against Freiburg, the home side's motivation to beat the Red Bulls and make another final should see them edge Rose's troops.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.05) 
