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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
UB

Freiburg
0 - 0
Union Berlin

 
FT

Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin may have ended the calendar year as they mean to go on, but Bjelica is yet to find the solution to his side's defensive and offensive woes on the road, which will likely cost them dear on Saturday. Even with international and suspension absentees to contend with, Freiburg are seldom outfought in front of their own fans and should make a winning start to 2024, although it may not be a totally comfortable ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
63.45% (0.351 0.35) 20.49% (-0.111 -0.11) 16.06% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (0.031999999999996 0.03)43.11% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.111 0.11)12.93% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (0.23099999999999 0.23)39.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (-0.29 -0.29)39.88% (0.285 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (-0.265 -0.27)76.54% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 63.44%
    Union Berlin 16.06%
    Draw 20.49%
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.49%
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 5-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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