SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
34.08% ( -0.03) | 24.27% ( -0) | 41.64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.92% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.34% ( 0.01) | 42.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( 0.01) | 65.06% ( -0.01) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( -0.01) | 24.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.04% ( -0.02) | 58.95% ( 0.02) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( 0.02) | 20.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.8% ( 0.03) | 53.2% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 41.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
