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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
S

Freiburg
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart have lost three on the trot on their travels, and that could become four losses in succession against a Freiburg team that are undefeated at the Europa-Park Stadion since mid-September, with that 4-2 loss to Dortmund still the club's only home Bundesliga reverse this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
44.13% (0.458 0.46) 23.26% (0.064 0.06) 32.6% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 63.09% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71% (-0.508 -0.51)38.29% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43% (-0.541 -0.54)60.57% (0.53899999999999 0.54)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.46% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.536 -0.54)23.27% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-0.787 -0.79)57.2% (0.785 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 44.13%
    Stuttgart 32.6%
    Draw 23.26%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9% (0.065 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Stuttgart
Sunday, January 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Augsburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, December 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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