SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
40.44% ( 1.53) | 24.17% ( -0.12) | 35.38% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.09% ( 0.41) | 41.9% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.69% ( 0.41) | 64.31% ( -0.41) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( 0.91) | 20.87% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( 1.41) | 53.57% ( -1.41) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( -0.56) | 23.42% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.58% ( -0.82) | 57.42% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.19% Total : 35.38% |
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