SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.1%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
23.6% ( 0.25) | 21.3% ( -0.02) | 55.1% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.38) | 35.53% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.42% ( 0.42) | 57.58% ( -0.42) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.41) | 27.87% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( 0.52) | 63.48% ( -0.52) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.06) | 12.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.56% ( 0.12) | 39.44% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.57% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.11)0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.1% |
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