SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
51.87% ( 0.7) | 22.65% ( -0.19) | 25.47% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0.44) | 40.02% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.45) | 62.38% ( -0.46) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 0.4) | 15.54% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.51% ( 0.74) | 44.48% ( -0.75) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.15) | 28.85% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( -0.19) | 64.71% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.87% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.47% |
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