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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
MC

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Man City

Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 0-3 Manchester City

Villa arguably should not have been in with a chance of stealing a point off of Arsenal in midweek, but credit where credit is due to some of their last-ditch defending efforts, and they did come out fighting in the second period. However, such small positives are unlikely to count for much against the rampant champions, who will seek to further increase the pressure on the under-fire Gerrard with a straightforward success on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
17.84% (2.691 2.69) 19.47% (0.839 0.84) 62.69% (-3.528 -3.53)
Both teams to score 59.96% (3.201 3.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.99% (1.276 1.28)35.01% (-1.275 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43% (1.41 1.41)57% (-1.409 -1.41)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (3.95 3.95)32.85% (-3.948 -3.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (4.168 4.17)69.42% (-4.166 -4.17)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (-0.515 -0.52)10.71% (0.517 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.36% (-1.167 -1.17)34.64% (1.169 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 17.84%
    Manchester City 62.69%
    Draw 19.47%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.59 0.59)
1-0 @ 3.92% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.39 0.39)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.381 0.38)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 17.84%
1-1 @ 8.75% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.554 0.55)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.47%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.999 -1)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.704 -0.7)
1-3 @ 7.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 6.54% (-0.906 -0.91)
1-4 @ 4.06% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.331 0.33)
0-4 @ 3.65% (-0.598 -0.6)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.139 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 62.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 West Ham
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bolton 1-4 Aston Villa
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Everton
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 6-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Man City
Wednesday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 3-3 Man City
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Man City
Sunday, August 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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