SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
42.63% ( -0.24) | 23.1% ( 0.04) | 34.27% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 64.33% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.17) | 36.92% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.9% ( -0.18) | 59.1% ( 0.18) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% ( -0.17) | 17.82% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.43% ( -0.29) | 48.56% ( 0.29) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( 0.02) | 21.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% ( 0.04) | 54.88% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.92% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 34.27% |
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