Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
46.08% (![]() | 26.42% (![]() | 27.5% |
Both teams to score 49.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.45% (![]() | 54.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.1% (![]() | 75.89% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% (![]() | 23.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% (![]() | 57.71% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% (![]() | 34.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% (![]() | 71.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.5% |
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