Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
46.08% ( -0)	26.42% ( 0)	27.5%

Both teams to score 49.67% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

-0.01)

54.54% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

-0)

75.89% (

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0)

23.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-0)

57.71% (

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.03% (

-0)

34.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.29% (

-0)

71.7% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 46.07%

Burnley 27.5%

Draw 26.41%

Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.07%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.5%