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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St. James' Park
BL

Newcastle
1 - 0
Brentford

Wilson (64' pen.)
Gordon (90+5'), Guimaraes (90+7'), Wilson (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wissa (33'), Norgaard (42'), Hickey (59'), Flekken (64'), Collins (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
50.37% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.16% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)69.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 50.37%
    Brentford 25.48%
    Draw 24.15%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.37%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.8%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Newcastle
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Villarreal
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 5 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Brentford (0-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-3 Brentford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Lille
Saturday, August 5 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1


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