SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | VfL Bochum |
55.68% ( 0.65) | 21.56% ( -0.02) | 22.77% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 60.74% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.28% ( -0.63) | 37.72% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( -0.68) | 59.96% ( 0.68) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( -0.01) | 13.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.44% ( -0.02) | 40.56% ( 0.02) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.87) | 29.77% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -1.07) | 65.84% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 55.68% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.06% Total : 22.77% |
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