SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
28.29% ( -0.82) | 25.14% ( 0.25) | 46.57% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( -1.57) | 49% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -1.43) | 71.09% ( 1.43) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -1.41) | 31.44% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( -1.66) | 67.81% ( 1.66) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.4) | 21.07% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( -0.62) | 53.88% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.57% |
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