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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
BL

Alaves
0 - 3
Barcelona


Tenaglia (31'), Mourino (54')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Lewandowski (7', 22', 32')
Martinez (53'), Martin Langreo (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, September 28 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Young Boys
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawBarcelona
28.29% (-0.821 -0.82) 25.14% (0.255 0.25) 46.57% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-1.39 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51% (-1.567 -1.57)49% (1.565 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (-1.434 -1.43)71.09% (1.435 1.43)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (-1.41 -1.41)31.44% (1.409 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (-1.663 -1.66)67.81% (1.663 1.66)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)21.07% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (-0.621 -0.62)53.88% (0.62 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 28.29%
    Barcelona 46.57%
    Draw 25.14%
AlavesDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 28.29%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.415 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.03% (0.32 0.32)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.17% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 46.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, September 28 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Alaves
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Sevilla
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 3-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Alaves
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Young Boys
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Osasuna 4-2 Barcelona
Saturday, September 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Getafe
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-5 Barcelona
Sunday, September 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Girona 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, September 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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