Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
28.29% ( -0.82)	25.14% ( 0.25)	46.57% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 54.12% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51% (

-1.57)

49% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

-1.43)

71.09% (

1.43)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-1.41)

31.44% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-1.66)

67.81% (

1.66)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

-0.4)

21.07% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

-0.62)

53.88% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Alaves 28.29%

Barcelona 46.57%

Draw 25.14%

Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.29%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.57%