Only one of Sporting's last 24 Champions League home games has ended level, and that was over seven years ago, but they are very hot and cold, with 12 wins and 11 defeats.
Against a Bologna side playing just for pride though, the home team should fancy their chances of getting the point they need to advance, even though the Rossoblu stunned Dortmund last week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
3.39) 
-1.27) 
