Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
26.84% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() | 48.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.56% (![]() | 47.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.34% (![]() | 69.65% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.28% (![]() | 31.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% (![]() | 68.13% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.43% (![]() | 19.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% (![]() | 51.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 7.13% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 11.62% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.6% |
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