With the Taca da Liga title on the line, we expect Sporting Lisbon and Benfica to go all out in search of the win, serving up another classic in the heated Lisbon derby. Having bottled the Portuguese Super Cup back in August, we are backing the Leoes to come out guns blazing and extend their recent dominance against Benfica to clinch their first piece of silverware this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Winner Semi-final 2 has a probability of 29.78% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Winner Semi-final 2 win is 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Winner Semi-final 2
46.38%	23.83%	29.78%

Both teams to score 59.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68%

42.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28%

64.72%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54%

18.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.36%

49.64%

Winner Semi-final 2 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02%

26.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68%

62.32%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 46.38%

Winner Semi-final 2 29.78%

Draw 23.83%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Winner Semi-final 2
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.51% Total : 46.38%	1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 7.22% 0-1 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.78%