SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
46.27% ( -0.12) | 23.8% ( -0.03) | 29.94% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.23) | 42.09% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% ( 0.23) | 64.49% ( -0.23) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 0.05) | 18.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( 0.07) | 49.57% ( -0.07) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.22) | 26.76% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 0.29) | 62.04% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.94% |
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