SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
57.01% ( 1.29) | 23.3% ( -0.72) | 19.69% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( 2.16) | 49.38% ( -2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( 1.91) | 71.42% ( -1.91) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( 1.26) | 17.09% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% ( 2.18) | 47.29% ( -2.18) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( 0.63) | 39.34% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% ( 0.58) | 76.04% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.3)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.8% Total : 57% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.61)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.69% |
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