Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
48.67% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.59% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.35% ( -0.02) | 52.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( -0.02) | 74.3% ( 0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.01) | 21.65% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.02) | 54.77% ( 0.02) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% ( -0.01) | 35.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0.01) | 72.19% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.67% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.7% |
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