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LT
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
ML

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

Both teams will be stronger squad-wise than they were before the international break with players returning from injury, so the two managers will feel this is a good chance to set the tone for the final eight games. We think that it will be a tight game and predict that it will finish level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
53.35%26.52%20.14%
Both teams to score 42.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46%60.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35%80.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8%81.2%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 53.34%
    Millwall 20.14%
    Draw 26.5%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.3%
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Luton
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 4-0 Preston
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Sunday, March 13 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Luton
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 2 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Millwall
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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