Luton are in desperate need of the points, as they bid to remain in the top six; Peterborough require the victory for a very different reason, but we are struggling to back the home side here and are tipping Luton to secure a vital three points courtesy of a two-goal success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
