SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
44.2% ( -0.28) | 25.37% ( 0.01) | 30.43% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.07) | 48.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( 0.07) | 70.94% ( -0.07) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.1) | 22.07% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( -0.15) | 55.42% ( 0.15) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.22) | 29.81% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.27) | 65.9% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.43% |
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