SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
35.58% ( -0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.03) | 36.89% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% ( -0.13) | 56.45% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( -0.1) | 77.45% ( 0.1) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( -0.08) | 30.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( -0.09) | 66.39% ( 0.09) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -0.07) | 29.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( -0.08) | 65.41% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.89% |
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