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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
NL

Millwall
2 - 3
Norwich

Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Leonard (12'), McNamara (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Hernandez (35'), Gibson (80'), Aarons (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Norwich City

This has all the makings of a highly-competitive game and Norwich will be confident of becoming just the third team to defeat Millwall at The Den this season. However, we feel that a share of the spoils is most likely, one which would still suit the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
36.47% (0.176 0.18) 27.22% (-0.012 -0.01) 36.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.053000000000004 0.05)55.26% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (0.13500000000001 0.14)29.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (0.163 0.16)65.01% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)65.14% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.47%
    Norwich City 36.3%
    Draw 27.22%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Millwall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Hull City
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Norwich
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Burnley
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Championship


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