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QL
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
LT

QPR
2 - 1
Luton

Frey (24'), Fox (62')
Varane (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGuinness (45+2')
Chong (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 3-1 Watford
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Luton Town

QPR have won each of their last four home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to take three points off their struggling opponents, who have lost each of their previous nine away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
46.2% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.4% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.012 0.01)23.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.012 0.01)34.63% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.2%
    Luton Town 27.53%
    Draw 26.26%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 3-1 Watford
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 QPR
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 QPR
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Preston
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 QPR
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Luton
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Luton
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Stoke
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship


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