SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
36.24% ( -0.52) | 26.35% ( -0.21) | 37.41% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( 0.89) | 51.68% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( 0.77) | 73.46% ( -0.77) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( 0.12) | 27.5% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( 0.15) | 63.01% ( -0.15) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% ( 0.85) | 26.83% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.87% ( 1.11) | 62.13% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.24% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.41% |
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