SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 83.37%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 4.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.44%) and 1-0 (11.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Hebei |
83.37% ( -0.62) | 11.93% ( 0.54) | 4.69% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 36.09% ( -1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( -2.47) | 38.89% ( 2.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( -2.64) | 61.2% ( 2.64) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.05% ( -0.63) | 6.95% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.52% ( -1.71) | 25.48% ( 1.71) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.79% ( -1.46) | 61.21% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.75% ( -0.73) | 91.25% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.91)4-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.31)5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.26)6-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.13)6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.1% Total : 83.37% | 1-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 11.93% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.24% Total : 4.69% |
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