SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 49.75%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Port |
25.36% ( -0.14) | 24.88% ( -0.08) | 49.75% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.21) | 49.91% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 0.19) | 71.9% ( -0.19) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% | 34.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( 0) | 70.92% ( -0) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.17) | 20.07% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( 0.28) | 52.31% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.36% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.75% |
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