SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
32.49% ( 0.15) | 24.87% ( 0.08) | 42.65% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( -0.3) | 45.85% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( -0.28) | 68.17% ( 0.28) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.05) | 26.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( -0.07) | 62.33% ( 0.07) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.23) | 21.52% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( -0.35) | 54.58% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.65% |
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