SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
13.3% ( 0.06) | 18.96% ( 0.14) | 67.74% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% ( -0.53) | 42.05% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -0.53) | 64.45% ( 0.53) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.95% ( -0.25) | 43.05% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% ( -0.21) | 79.33% ( 0.21) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.57% ( -0.2) | 11.42% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.79% ( -0.44) | 36.21% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.3% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.96% | 0-2 @ 11.57% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.17)1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.74% Total : 67.73% |
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