SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Guangzhou City |
52.27% ( 0.21) | 24.89% ( -0.06) | 22.84% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% ( 0.09) | 52.17% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( 0.08) | 73.88% ( -0.08) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 0.12) | 19.94% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% ( 0.19) | 52.09% ( -0.2) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( -0.09) | 37.73% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.49% ( -0.09) | 74.51% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Guangzhou City |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 22.84% |
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