Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9

Jul 7, 2022 at 10.30am UK

Hongkou Football Stadium

Sh. Shenhua
1 - 0
Hebei

Jianrong (56')
Yunqiu (54'), Zhu (90+1'), Xinli (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bi (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Hebei, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Hebei

Shanghai Shenhua will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways in this one as they face a floundering Hebei side who have lost seven of their opening eight games. Jingui's side are unbeaten at home since last November and we predict that they will come away with all three points on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 80.95%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 5.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.99%) and 1-0 (12.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Hebei
80.95% ( 0.41)	13.56% ( -0.35)	5.49% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 35.68% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.09% (

1.41)

42.91% (

-1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.69% (

1.38)

65.31% (

-1.38)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.63% (

0.43)

8.37% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.86% (

1.05)

29.13% (

-1.05)

Hebei Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.94% (

0.75)

61.05% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.82% (

0.36)

91.18% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 80.93%

Hebei 5.49%

Draw 13.56%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Hebei
2-0 @ 15.72% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.54) 4-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 4% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.12) 6-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.16% Total : 80.93%	1-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 13.56%	0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 5.49%