SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.56%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hebei would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Hebei |
13.49% ( -44.64) | 20.4% ( -3.84) | 66.1% ( 48.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.27% ( 2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( 7.79) | 47.91% ( -7.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( 6.76) | 70.08% ( -6.76) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.58% ( -27.41) | 46.42% ( 27.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.95% ( -31.47) | 82.05% ( 31.47) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( 31.79) | 13.64% ( -31.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( 40.47) | 40.8% ( -40.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Hebei |
| 1-0 @ 4.86% ( -9.47) 2-1 @ 3.71% ( -5.68)2-0 @ 1.86% ( -10.04)3-1 @ 0.95% ( -4.25)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -1.1)Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.49% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -1.63) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -2.31)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.4% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 5.79) 0-2 @ 12.56% ( 9.87)1-2 @ 9.64% ( 5.18)0-3 @ 8.35% ( 7.64)1-3 @ 6.4% ( 5.23)0-4 @ 4.16% ( 4.02)1-4 @ 3.19% ( 2.96)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 1.48)0-5 @ 1.66% ( 1.64)1-5 @ 1.27% ( 1.23)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 1.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 66.1% |
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