SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Meizhou Hakka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
18.38% ( 0.02) | 21.8% ( 0.02) | 59.82% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.04) | 44.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( -0.04) | 67.26% ( 0.04) |
| Guangzhou City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( 0) | 38.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( 0) | 74.93% ( -0) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( -0.03) | 14.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.3% ( -0.05) | 42.7% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou City | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.38% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.81% |
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