SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
54.72% ( -0.25) | 23.99% ( 0.06) | 21.28% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( -0.01) | 50.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( -0.01) | 72.18% ( 0.01) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( -0.1) | 18.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( -0.16) | 49.28% ( 0.16) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( 0.19) | 38.16% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% ( 0.18) | 74.92% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 21.28% |
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