SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 5.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.2%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Hebei |
82.18% ( 1.37) | 12.18% ( -1.09) | 5.64% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 42.02% ( 2.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.88% ( 4.32) | 35.11% ( -4.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.88% ( 4.66) | 57.12% ( -4.66) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.57% ( 1.19) | 6.42% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.94% ( 3.18) | 24.05% ( -3.19) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.91% ( 2.17) | 55.09% ( -2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.06% ( 1.25) | 87.94% ( -1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 13.33% ( -1.13) 3-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.2)1-0 @ 9.71% ( -1.52)4-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.54)5-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.49)5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.24)6-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.34)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.25)6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.27)Other @ 3.98% Total : 82.17% | 1-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.83)2-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.48% Total : 12.18% | 0-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 5.64% |
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