Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Argentina win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.